Friday, August 15, 2014
By Timoti Sikenela, Suleya Jana, Nellia Magola
Foreign Direct Investment
On 12th August 2014, President Mutharika called a Press Conference, in part, to give a feedback on his successful attendance of US-African Leaders Summit organized by President Obama in Washington DC.
Serious looking Mutharika issued an ultimatum to his Cabinet. Demanding that within 30 days, each ministry must identify areas that can attract Foreign Direct Investment. In short, each ministry must come up with an investment Blueprint for possible foreign investment.
With this ultimatum, to a layman, Mutharika’s language was music to the ear. To a layman, Mutharika was as committed as his brother, Bingu wa Mutharika during his first term 2004-2009. To a layman, Mutharika wanted to wean Malawi from Donor-dependency to self-reliance. Unfortunately, Mutharika put a cart before a horse.
The 30-Day Investment ultimatum to the Cabinet is by all practical purposes an empty talk. May be the ultimatum should have been, Within 30 Days, Identify and Come Up with Risks that Foreign Investment is likely to face in Malawi. There are lots of them. Identify such real risks and tackle them decisively.
Sweeping known risks under the carpet while talking investments is the best way to lose relevance and respect.
With this in mind, it can be argued that Mutharika is just bluffing. This was a false display of confidence. He knew that his call would never be met unless he was prepared to fire all of them. What Mutharika is talking about is match-making and it’s not a 30 day exercise. That aside, his own record shows that Mutharika as Cabinet minister in his brother’s administration failed to deliver anything tangible. As Minister of Education being his worst legacy. However, this is no time to scratch old wounds but rather to show Mr President why his ultimatum is illusory.
The first President, Dr Banda once talked about the inherent interdependency between Politics and Economics. He argued that they govern each other. With political Power and Will, Mutharika can do more to turn Malawi around than issuing 30 day ultimatum to people who are illiterate in courting foreign investment. They will scramble to be on the plane only to earn allowance and go shopping. Stop issuing glasses to blind people.
Malawi is faced with self-inflicted monumental hurdles which require the President’s unbiased attention so as to identify dangerous enemies and deal with them. Corruption is enemy number 1 to investors.
Mutharika has inherited not only a financially bankrupt government but also a government which is morally bankrupt. Government with poor governance record. Government institutions ridden with corruption and bribery scandals. The scale of Corruption in government. Corruption in judiciary. Corruption in private sector.
No investor would consider Malawi as a destination because the current business environment poses operational risks. the environment is toxic, hazardous and dangerous to the safety of Capital.
Foreign Investors are not easily cheated by political rhetoric. They wear very sharp and fine lenses to scrutinize country risks and opportunities. Assessing country risks is the first Desk Research they do after they have heard all the sugar-coated stories from politicians. On the mind of the investor, such worries persist:
- Currency risk
- Liquidity risk
- Refinancing risk
- Operational risk
- Legal risk
- Political risk
- Valuation risk
- Reputational risk
- Volatility risk
- Settlement risk
Which ultimately to point Profit risk. Financial risk.
Unless Malawi addresses some of these issues through investor-friendly policies and legislative framework, serious investors will bypass the country. Malawi’s resume on governance is, unfortunately, in shambles. Denying the obvious amounts to helpless attempt to mislead self and potential investors.
Driving Foreign Investments momentum. Bingu wa Mutharika like Dr Banda was visionary but unrestrained self-enrichment mentality derailed the train. This happened when Peter Mutharika was the advisor, closest confidante and annointed heir to the throne. Implicitly, Peter Mutharika is on the same bad wagon of looting machinery.
Industrialization. Malawi must have a Single Vision. Single Mission. Single ultimate Destination with Time Frame clearly defined. There must be state led industrialization plan. In short, President Mutharika Mutharika must set up an Investment Committee. Institutionalized and legitimized by act of Parliament. Give it powers and mandates.
It is sad that one such institution was looted and declared bankrupt. Malawi Development Corporation (MDC) as it was known, was established by an act of parliament in 1964 and operations began in 1965 purely as a statutory body with wide development powers. The emphasis was to be a catalyst in development to assist government, developing with other technical partners in various fields of the economy, ranging from Agriculture, Agro-processing, Industry and property.
Looking the same example elsewhere. Industrial Development Corporation of South Africa (IDC) – established in 1940 – is a self-financing, national Development Finance Institution. Its mandate is to promote economic growth and industrial development in South Africa.
IDC was mandated with development of the economic potential on a local and regional basis by building on the unique competitive strengths of each region’s economy and assets by;
- Leveraging public and private resources for development opportunities;
- Fostering innovative thinking and entrepreneurial activity which support and drive economic growth;
- Managing the spatial organisation of the area in a socially efficient manner, through the use of public land and targeted private projects in particular.
IDC has outlived the founding government, nationalist party of white minority government. South African economy or industrialization is solidly associated with IDC. Power Generation, Mining, Roads, Rail, Manufacturing in various sectors, Financial Services and you name it. It is now investing throughout the continent.
On the other hand, UDF government killed the goose that laid golden eggs. MDC was single handedly killed by shamelessly looting of its assets. Believe it or not, some of the borrowed money R50m from Development Bank of Southern Africa (DBSA) for Namiwawa Hotel, for instance, found itself in Mauritius bank accounts of individuals. Nobody was held to account.
What threatens Malawi’s economic development agenda is the impotence of the system to deal with institutionalized corruption. Malawi prisons are full of people caught smoking dagga while real criminals are in party structures. Despite ominous indictments, one Joseph Manyugwa went to the grave as Honourable Justice of the High Court.
Today, there is another Honourable Justice John Katsala exposed in his shadowy string of strange decisions. The system will turn a blind eye.
Engine Of Economic Growth. Classical economists accord the exports of any country as an engine of its economic growth. They are of the opinion that when any country specializes in a product on the basis of its comparative advantage the division of labor and specialization becomes possible. As a result, the economies, both internal and external, of scale will be attained. The markets will be extended. In this way, the income and employment of a country will increase making economic development possible.
Fascinating countries to understudy include China, South Asian countries like South Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and even Brazil. Spectacular export performance. In all these countries, there is one thing in common. State led development strategy. Establishments of Special economic zones. Development and utilization of Human Resources. Incentives. Ruthless crack on corruption wherever it shows its head.
Mutharika must lead from the front. 5 years is a long time. Mutharika can achieve more if he embarks on genuine reforms, re-engineering and establishing institutions through which to unleash economic development and industrialization strategy. He will be rewarded with reappointment in 2019.
In summary, Mr President, set up Investment Committee.
- Ensure Diversity and Experience in Investment Committee Composition
- Build Strong Committee Leadership
- Develop and Refresh the Investment Policy Statement so as to address all known risks.
- Run Well Structured, But Not Overly Formalized, Meetings to energize members.
- Communicate, Communicate, Communicate. 30 Day Ultimatum is not a good way of communication.
- Be Strategic in Manager Selection and Evaluation. Please stop appointing friends, political loyalists and relatives. Instead, look for people with the right experience, attitude and availability.
- Focus on Implementation. Results and singing praises.
- Do Not Forget the Foundation Staff
- Conduct Regular Reviews of Professional Advisors
The Office of the President and Vice President should give the 5Cs.
- Commitment
- Coordination
- Communication
- Continuity
- Completion
Last but not least, partisan politics serves no purpose. Job Reservations for friends and relatives is self-defeating. Only uneducated idiots find comfort in such mediocrity. Mutharika is an educated man. Sagacious. He must rise above common follies. Only then will real investment flow into the country.
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